Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.4% vs Marchant 48.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.7%
Defensive zone
Marchant 79.7%
Neutral zone
Marchant 58.1%
Result
Todd Marchant favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Duchene
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Duchene
Marchant
Last 8: Duchene 2-6 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Marchant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchant
0
3
Duchene
Marchant
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchant
0
3
Duchene
Marchant
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
50.5% (368)
+0.0%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
28.6% (7)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
42.4% (158)
+7.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Duchene shoots left. Marchant is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Duchene
Marchant
Home
49.8% (633)
50.3% (302)
Away
51.1% (613)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Duchene
Marchant
P1
51.0%
46.3%
P2
51.5%
49.7%
P3
49.1%
48.1%
OT
36.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 03:26 | Neutral | Todd Marchant |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Todd Marchant |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Todd Marchant |