Scouting Report
Philip McRae holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McRae on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McRae 51.2% vs Marchant 48.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McRae 82.7%
Defensive zone
Marchant 63.8%
Neutral zone
McRae 67.8%
Result
Philip McRae favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
McRae
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
McRae
Marchant
Last 6: McRae 6-0 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McRae
6
0
McRae
Marchant
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McRae
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (62)
50.5% (368)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On power play, McRae has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. McRae is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (53).
McRae shoots left. Marchant is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
McRae
Marchant
Home
48.3% (29)
50.3% (302)
Away
57.1% (35)
45.1% (246)
By Period
McRae
Marchant
P1
58.3%
46.3%
P2
47.4%
49.7%
P3
52.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
36.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McRae
48.0%▼
53.1%
53.1%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2011 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Philip McRae |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Philip McRae |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Philip McRae |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Philip McRae |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Philip McRae |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Philip McRae |