Scouting Report
Todd Marchant holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Gagner wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Marchant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 44.4% vs Marchant 48.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 51.6%
Defensive zone
Marchant 87.9%
Neutral zone
Marchant 69.9%
Result
Todd Marchant favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Gagner
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gagner
Marchant
Last 5: Gagner 4-1 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
0
Gagner
Marchant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gagner
Marchant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Marchant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (758)
50.5% (368)
-7.4%
Power Play
50.3% (147)
28.6% (7)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
42.4% (158)
-7.8%
On power play, Gagner has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Gagner is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Gagner shoots right. Marchant is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Gagner
Marchant
Home
47.4% (468)
50.3% (302)
Away
40.3% (467)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Gagner
Marchant
P1
43.8%
46.3%
P2
43.8%
49.7%
P3
44.0%
48.1%
OT
42.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |