Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wandell on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Wandell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.2% vs Wandell 45.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wandell 77.5%
Defensive zone
Wandell 53.6%
Neutral zone
Wandell 69.1%
Result
Tom Wandell favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Koivu
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Koivu
Wandell
Last 7: Koivu 2-5 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Wandell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wandell
1
4
Koivu
Wandell
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (805)
43.1% (297)
+9.1%
Power Play
59.9% (152)
35.7% (14)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (239)
61.5% (13)
-12.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Koivu shoots left. Wandell is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Koivu
Wandell
Home
54.0% (639)
39.5% (152)
Away
50.7% (594)
47.1% (172)
By Period
Koivu
Wandell
P1
52.7%
49.6%
P2
50.4%
35.3%
P3
54.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |