Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Fischer wins 35.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fischer 39.0% vs Hertl 52.3% (-18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fischer 75.9%
Defensive zone
Fischer 75.0%
Neutral zone
Fischer 71.1%
Result
Christian Fischer favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Fischer
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fischer
Hertl
Last 5: Fischer 1-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Fischer
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fischer
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Fischer
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fischer
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
35.1% (188)
51.6% (1,084)
-16.5%
Power Play
33.3% (24)
61.0% (246)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
44.1% (136)
-25.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Fischer is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Fischer shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Fischer
Hertl
Home
29.6% (108)
55.2% (696)
Away
38.3% (115)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Fischer
Hertl
P1
30.4%
55.4%
P2
38.9%
54.8%
P3
32.9%
48.9%
Final 5 min
45.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fischer
34.0%▼
40.0%
34.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Christian Fischer |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |