Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.0% vs Hertl 55.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 88.7%
Defensive zone
Kampf 81.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Kampf
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kampf
Hertl
Last 5: Kampf 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Kampf
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
2
0
Kampf
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
0
Kampf
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (405)
54.1% (717)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
61.9% (210)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
58.1% (31)
-10.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kampf is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Kampf shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Kampf
Hertl
Home
49.8% (269)
58.1% (492)
Away
52.6% (274)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Kampf
Hertl
P1
50.5%
57.1%
P2
53.8%
54.0%
P3
48.6%
56.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | David Kampf |