Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 49.5% vs Hertl 51.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 52.8%
Defensive zone
Jooris 65.3%
Neutral zone
Jooris 59.7%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Jooris
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jooris
Hertl
Last 6: Jooris 2-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Jooris
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
0
Jooris
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jooris
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (390)
50.4% (367)
-0.1%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
64.6% (48)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (56)
49.2% (59)
-8.1%
On power play, Jooris has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jooris is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Jooris shoots right. Hertl is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Jooris
Hertl
Home
50.0% (218)
50.9% (220)
Away
48.7% (232)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Jooris
Hertl
P1
54.1%
52.7%
P2
42.1%
52.8%
P3
51.9%
49.7%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
49.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |