Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.5% vs Hertl 51.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 50.6%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 86.5%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 69.4%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Brodziak
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Brodziak
Hertl
Last 8: Brodziak 1-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
Brodziak
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Brodziak
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brodziak
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (526)
50.4% (367)
-0.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
64.6% (48)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (120)
49.2% (59)
-1.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Brodziak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Brodziak shoots right. Hertl is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Hertl
Home
51.5% (324)
50.9% (220)
Away
47.4% (329)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Brodziak
Hertl
P1
50.0%
52.7%
P2
45.9%
52.8%
P3
52.5%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |