Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.2% vs Brouwer 50.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 86.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 76.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 74.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Hertl
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hertl
Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
0
Hertl
Brouwer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,268)
50.3% (702)
+3.5%
Power Play
59.3% (1,975)
53.7% (551)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
46.6% (412)
-0.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Hertl shoots left. Brouwer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Hertl
Brouwer
Home
55.7% (5,344)
53.5% (854)
Away
52.8% (5,705)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Hertl
Brouwer
P1
53.6%
51.4%
P2
54.1%
49.3%
P3
55.3%
51.2%
OT
46.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |