Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 50.7% vs Sobotka 53.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 51.0%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 53.7%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 51.7%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Hertl
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hertl
Sobotka
Last 7: Hertl 4-3 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Sobotka
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hertl
Sobotka
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (891)
56.0% (300)
-4.5%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
52.0% (25)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (130)
37.0% (27)
+4.5%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Hertl is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Hertl shoots left. Sobotka is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Hertl
Sobotka
Home
52.6% (544)
60.3% (156)
Away
49.2% (612)
49.5% (196)
By Period
Hertl
Sobotka
P1
49.4%
56.5%
P2
51.7%
55.6%
P3
51.4%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.0%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
50.8%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |