Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopecky on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Marleau wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 52.1% vs Kopecky 44.3% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopecky 81.7%
Defensive zone
Marleau 70.6%
Neutral zone
Kopecky 55.7%
Result
Tomas Kopecky favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Marleau
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Marleau
Kopecky
Last 5: Marleau 2-3 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopecky
0
3
Marleau
Kopecky
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
0
Marleau
Kopecky
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (350)
44.0% (225)
+6.9%
Power Play
64.8% (54)
38.0% (50)
+26.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (142)
25.0% (8)
+26.4%
On power play, Marleau has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Marleau is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Marleau shoots left. Kopecky is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Marleau
Kopecky
Home
54.3% (289)
46.7% (150)
Away
50.4% (260)
37.3% (134)
By Period
Marleau
Kopecky
P1
53.3%
41.1%
P2
53.3%
38.2%
P3
50.5%
46.7%
OT
58.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2011 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |