Scouting Report
Tomas Kopecky holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopecky 51.9% vs Smith 49.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopecky 71.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 66.5%
Neutral zone
Kopecky 56.2%
Result
Tomas Kopecky favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Kopecky
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kopecky
Smith
Last 5: Kopecky 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopecky
2
0
Kopecky
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Kopecky
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopecky
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopecky
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (165)
48.0% (761)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.0% (50)
70.4% (27)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (43)
49.5% (196)
+11.0%
On power play, Smith has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Kopecky is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Kopecky shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Kopecky
Smith
Home
55.8% (147)
49.9% (523)
Away
48.7% (119)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Kopecky
Smith
P1
49.4%
47.5%
P2
47.4%
50.4%
P3
60.6%
48.4%
OT
46.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |