Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Nosek 51.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 57.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 63.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 53.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Gaudette
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gaudette
Nosek
Last 7: Gaudette 3-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Gaudette
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Gaudette
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
53.0% (400)
-3.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
33.3% (12)
+25.0%
On power play, Gaudette has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Gaudette is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Gaudette shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Nosek
Home
54.4% (206)
49.6% (244)
Away
44.4% (144)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Gaudette
Nosek
P1
49.2%
53.1%
P2
50.4%
51.4%
P3
51.6%
51.1%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |