Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Nosek 51.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 70.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 69.5%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 75.3%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Goodrow
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Goodrow
Nosek
Last 9: Goodrow 1-8 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Goodrow
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
6
Goodrow
Nosek
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
53.0% (400)
-3.0%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
33.3% (12)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
45.5% (44)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nosek
Home
40.0% (130)
49.6% (244)
Away
45.9% (122)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Goodrow
Nosek
P1
48.8%
53.1%
P2
35.0%
51.4%
P3
44.8%
51.1%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |