Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Leschyshyn wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Leschyshyn 50.5% vs Nosek 58.0% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leschyshyn 85.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 62.8%
Neutral zone
Leschyshyn 62.7%
Result
Jake Leschyshyn favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Leschyshyn
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Leschyshyn
Nosek
Last 8: Leschyshyn 3-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
5
Leschyshyn
Nosek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Leschyshyn
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (225)
59.7% (469)
-10.4%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
100.0% (4)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
56.5% (124)
+43.5%
On penalty kill, Leschyshyn has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Leschyshyn is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Leschyshyn shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Leschyshyn
Nosek
Home
55.0% (129)
59.0% (295)
Away
45.2% (104)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Leschyshyn
Nosek
P1
50.0%
56.3%
P2
50.6%
61.9%
P3
51.4%
59.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Leschyshyn
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |