Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Nosek 53.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 51.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 54.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Thompson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Thompson
Nosek
Last 7: Thompson 4-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Thompson
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
55.1% (557)
+0.4%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
50.0% (4)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
47.7% (111)
+8.8%
On power play, Thompson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Thompson shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Thompson
Nosek
Home
53.1% (128)
52.3% (342)
Away
57.9% (159)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Thompson
Nosek
P1
59.0%
49.0%
P2
55.4%
53.8%
P3
52.6%
57.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |