Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 48.7% vs Nosek 51.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 68.0%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 60.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 58.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Sundqvist
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sundqvist
Nosek
Last 5: Sundqvist 3-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Sundqvist
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
2
1
Sundqvist
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (165)
52.7% (355)
-7.9%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
28.6% (7)
+46.4%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (66)
44.0% (25)
+9.0%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Sundqvist is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Sundqvist shoots right. Nosek is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Nosek
Home
47.1% (119)
52.8% (214)
Away
49.2% (120)
50.3% (173)
By Period
Sundqvist
Nosek
P1
48.0%
54.2%
P2
46.6%
53.1%
P3
50.0%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |