Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gagner wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.5% vs Nosek 53.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 65.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 67.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 58.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Gagner
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gagner
Nosek
Last 7: Gagner 4-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
1
Gagner
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Gagner
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (158)
55.1% (557)
-3.8%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
50.0% (4)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.6% (110)
47.7% (111)
-14.1%
On power play, Gagner has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Gagner shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Gagner
Nosek
Home
53.2% (154)
52.3% (342)
Away
40.0% (150)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Gagner
Nosek
P1
35.6%
49.0%
P2
52.7%
53.8%
P3
51.9%
57.9%
Final 5 min
34.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |