Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 50.5% vs Nosek 58.0% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 91.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 66.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 58.7%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Reinhart
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Reinhart
Nosek
Last 6: Reinhart 2-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
0
Reinhart
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
Reinhart
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (259)
59.7% (469)
-10.3%
Power Play
54.4% (136)
100.0% (4)
-45.6%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (71)
56.5% (124)
-8.6%
On power play, Nosek has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Reinhart shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Nosek
Home
54.9% (235)
59.0% (295)
Away
46.3% (231)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Reinhart
Nosek
P1
52.3%
56.3%
P2
50.0%
61.9%
P3
50.0%
59.2%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |