Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 54.4%). Look for Ott on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ott wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 53.7% vs Nosek 51.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 66.4%
Defensive zone
Ott 87.9%
Neutral zone
Ott 68.6%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Ott
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ott
Nosek
Last 5: Ott 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
0
Ott
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
0
Ott
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
2
1
Ott
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (208)
54.0% (63)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (66)
60.0% (5)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Ott is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Ott shoots left. Nosek is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Ott
Nosek
Home
53.5% (101)
57.9% (38)
Away
55.9% (177)
50.0% (30)
By Period
Ott
Nosek
P1
57.0%
59.1%
P2
57.7%
42.3%
P3
48.6%
65.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |