Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nosek wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 53.9% vs Rask 50.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 63.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 81.3%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Nosek
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Nosek
Rask
Last 9: Nosek 5-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Nosek
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
4
1
Nosek
Rask
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Nosek
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (2,608)
50.0% (4,428)
+5.0%
Power Play
43.5% (46)
54.3% (363)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (397)
35.2% (54)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Nosek is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,880).
Nosek shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Nosek
Rask
Home
52.9% (1,606)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
55.3% (1,445)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Nosek
Rask
P1
52.5%
50.7%
P2
54.7%
48.9%
P3
54.6%
50.7%
OT
75.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Victor Rask |