Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 51.3% vs Rask 46.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 62.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 77.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 61.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Nosek
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Nosek
Rask
Last 8: Nosek 5-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
4
1
Nosek
Rask
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Nosek
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (355)
45.5% (442)
+7.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
44.7% (38)
-16.1%
On power play, Rask has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Nosek is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Nosek shoots left. Rask is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Nosek
Rask
Home
52.8% (214)
45.6% (228)
Away
50.3% (173)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Nosek
Rask
P1
54.2%
45.1%
P2
53.1%
45.5%
P3
46.4%
45.8%
Final 5 min
52.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |