Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.7% vs Plekanec 49.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 64.5%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 57.0%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 55.9%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Henrique
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Henrique
Plekanec
Last 9: Henrique 1-8 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
3
Henrique
Plekanec
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Henrique
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
3
Henrique
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (358)
50.8% (1,214)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
50.5% (190)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (94)
41.8% (153)
+2.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Henrique is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Henrique shoots left. Plekanec is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (965).
Home / Away
Henrique
Plekanec
Home
53.9% (245)
52.1% (760)
Away
50.4% (274)
47.8% (797)
By Period
Henrique
Plekanec
P1
52.8%
51.3%
P2
56.5%
47.2%
P3
46.1%
51.9%
OT
58.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |