Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.0%). Look for Connolly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Connolly wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 49.3% vs Plekanec 48.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 71.4%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 79.0%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 57.8%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Connolly
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Connolly
Plekanec
Last 6: Connolly 4-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
0
Connolly
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Connolly
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
1
Connolly
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (51)
47.1% (1,214)
+0.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.2% (128)
+39.8%
On power play, Connolly has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Connolly is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Connolly shoots right. Plekanec is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (704).
Home / Away
Connolly
Plekanec
Home
62.5% (8)
49.4% (853)
Away
45.5% (44)
46.6% (860)
By Period
Connolly
Plekanec
P1
44.4%
49.5%
P2
60.0%
46.7%
P3
42.1%
48.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
48.1%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |