Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 48.7% vs Plekanec 51.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 51.8%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 67.9%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 60.8%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Tierney
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Tierney
Plekanec
Last 9: Tierney 6-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Tierney
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
5
2
Tierney
Plekanec
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (675)
53.8% (1,081)
-4.6%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
48.6% (70)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (130)
37.8% (201)
+6.0%
On power play, Tierney has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Tierney is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Tierney shoots left. Plekanec is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Tierney
Plekanec
Home
50.7% (420)
52.3% (725)
Away
46.3% (406)
49.9% (627)
By Period
Tierney
Plekanec
P1
45.2%
54.6%
P2
50.0%
51.3%
P3
50.8%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
48.5%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |