Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.2% vs Plekanec 53.1% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 64.5%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 92.5%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 82.0%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
McDavid
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
McDavid
Plekanec
Last 9: McDavid 6-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Plekanec
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (855)
53.3% (1,007)
-11.9%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
71.4% (21)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (31)
51.4% (208)
-15.9%
On power play, Plekanec has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
McDavid shoots left. Plekanec is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (773).
Home / Away
McDavid
Plekanec
Home
42.8% (451)
52.2% (628)
Away
40.0% (458)
54.4% (608)
By Period
McDavid
Plekanec
P1
38.0%
55.6%
P2
44.9%
54.4%
P3
41.7%
49.9%
OT
20.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |