Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malgin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malgin wins 36.8% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 41.2% vs Plekanec 51.1% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 51.8%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 87.1%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 69.1%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Malgin
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malgin
Plekanec
Last 5: Malgin 3-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Malgin
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malgin
3
1
Malgin
Plekanec
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
36.9% (179)
53.8% (1,081)
-16.9%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
48.6% (70)
-28.6%
On power play, Plekanec has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Malgin is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Malgin shoots right. Plekanec is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Malgin
Plekanec
Home
33.0% (88)
52.3% (725)
Away
39.6% (96)
49.9% (627)
By Period
Malgin
Plekanec
P1
34.2%
54.6%
P2
40.0%
51.3%
P3
34.0%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
31.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
36.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |