Scouting Report
Drew Stafford holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 51.1% vs Plekanec 49.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stafford 65.0%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 76.5%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 50.5%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Stafford
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stafford
Plekanec
Last 7: Stafford 4-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
2
1
Stafford
Plekanec
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stafford
Plekanec
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (58)
49.8% (1,095)
+3.6%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
49.4% (174)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
47.3% (364)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Stafford is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Stafford shoots right. Plekanec is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Stafford
Plekanec
Home
58.7% (46)
49.4% (789)
Away
45.0% (40)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Stafford
Plekanec
P1
42.3%
51.9%
P2
63.6%
48.8%
P3
43.5%
47.8%
OT
75.0%
39.6%
Final 5 min
56.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 14, 2011 | OT | 01:48 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |