Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Plekanec 50.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Plekanec 73.7%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 55.0%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 55.8%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Nielsen
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Nielsen
Plekanec
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
3
Nielsen
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
0
Nielsen
Plekanec
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Nielsen
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (392)
51.5% (701)
-1.5%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
47.1% (121)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (146)
48.6% (138)
-8.2%
On power play, Nielsen has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Nielsen is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Nielsen shoots left. Plekanec is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Plekanec
Home
48.9% (274)
51.4% (473)
Away
47.2% (284)
49.8% (488)
By Period
Nielsen
Plekanec
P1
47.9%
50.7%
P2
49.7%
50.7%
P3
46.3%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |