Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Josefson wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Plekanec 50.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 80.7%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 63.2%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 65.9%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Josefson
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Josefson
Plekanec
Last 5: Josefson 4-1 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
1
Josefson
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (178)
51.5% (701)
-0.9%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
47.1% (121)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
48.6% (138)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Josefson is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Josefson shoots left. Plekanec is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Josefson
Plekanec
Home
50.0% (120)
51.4% (473)
Away
46.6% (116)
49.8% (488)
By Period
Josefson
Plekanec
P1
46.4%
50.7%
P2
50.6%
50.7%
P3
48.8%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |