Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ward wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Plekanec 49.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 70.2%
Defensive zone
Ward 57.1%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 53.1%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Ward
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ward
Plekanec
Last 7: Ward 4-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Ward
Plekanec
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
0
Ward
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ward
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (353)
49.8% (1,199)
-0.5%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
51.7% (240)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (98)
47.2% (176)
-12.5%
On power play, Ward has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Ward is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Ward shoots right. Plekanec is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Ward
Plekanec
Home
48.4% (219)
48.9% (807)
Away
47.8% (274)
50.6% (808)
By Period
Ward
Plekanec
P1
43.0%
52.2%
P2
51.4%
49.4%
P3
50.0%
47.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Joel Ward |