Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 53.9% vs Plekanec 53.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 58.8%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 55.0%
Neutral zone
Larsson 52.7%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Larsson
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Larsson
Plekanec
Last 10: Larsson 3-7 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
3
Larsson
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Larsson
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larsson
Plekanec
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (509)
53.3% (1,007)
+1.5%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
71.4% (21)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (119)
51.4% (208)
+3.2%
On power play, Plekanec has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Larsson shoots left. Plekanec is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (773).
Home / Away
Larsson
Plekanec
Home
57.5% (301)
52.2% (628)
Away
51.8% (338)
54.4% (608)
By Period
Larsson
Plekanec
P1
54.8%
55.6%
P2
49.1%
54.4%
P3
60.0%
49.9%
Final 5 min
60.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |