Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.2% vs Plekanec 49.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 60.4%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 76.9%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 51.0%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Mitchell
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Mitchell
Plekanec
Last 7: Mitchell 3-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
3
Mitchell
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (175)
49.8% (1,095)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
49.4% (174)
+4.8%
On power play, Mitchell has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Mitchell is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Mitchell shoots left. Plekanec is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,041).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Plekanec
Home
55.0% (109)
49.4% (789)
Away
47.8% (90)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Mitchell
Plekanec
P1
56.1%
51.9%
P2
50.6%
48.8%
P3
48.1%
47.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.8%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |