Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mitchell wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Plekanec 51.1% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 67.1%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 81.8%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 71.7%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Mitchell
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Mitchell
Plekanec
Last 8: Mitchell 1-7 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
2
Mitchell
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Mitchell
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
4
Mitchell
Plekanec
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
53.8% (1,081)
+1.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
48.6% (70)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
37.8% (201)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Mitchell is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Mitchell shoots left. Plekanec is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Plekanec
Home
61.9% (265)
52.3% (725)
Away
49.1% (273)
49.9% (627)
By Period
Mitchell
Plekanec
P1
54.9%
54.6%
P2
56.8%
51.3%
P3
54.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
55.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |