Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bailey wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.6% vs Plekanec 49.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 77.1%
Defensive zone
Bailey 79.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 76.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Bailey
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Bailey
Plekanec
Last 10: Bailey 3-7 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
5
Bailey
Plekanec
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
4
Bailey
Plekanec
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (579)
49.8% (1,095)
-5.6%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
49.4% (174)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (108)
47.3% (364)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Bailey is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Bailey shoots left. Plekanec is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,041).
Home / Away
Bailey
Plekanec
Home
45.9% (375)
49.4% (789)
Away
41.8% (361)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Bailey
Plekanec
P1
47.3%
51.9%
P2
40.4%
48.8%
P3
43.3%
47.8%
OT
63.6%
39.6%
Final 5 min
44.6%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | OT | 01:48 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |