Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 22-10 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 89.0%
Defensive zone
Bailey 87.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 81.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Bailey
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
22
(32 meetings)
10
22
Bailey
Plekanec
Last 10: Bailey 4-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
5
10
Bailey
Plekanec
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
3
11
Bailey
Plekanec
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
1
Bailey
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
50.8% (8,558)
-5.0%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
51.3% (1,151)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
46.0% (1,924)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Bailey
Plekanec
Home
46.6% (1,353)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Bailey
Plekanec
P1
46.5%
52.5%
P2
44.8%
48.9%
P3
44.4%
49.0%
OT
51.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 17, 2012 | OT | 01:48 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |