Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 49.9%). Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 50.3% vs Plekanec 49.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 58.1%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 62.0%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 52.8%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Jokinen
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jokinen
Plekanec
Last 5: Jokinen 3-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
0
Jokinen
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
2
Jokinen
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (168)
50.8% (1,214)
-3.2%
Power Play
60.7% (56)
50.5% (190)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
41.8% (153)
+4.4%
On power play, Jokinen has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Jokinen is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Jokinen shoots left. Plekanec is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (965).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Plekanec
Home
56.1% (123)
52.1% (760)
Away
44.9% (127)
47.8% (797)
By Period
Jokinen
Plekanec
P1
53.1%
51.3%
P2
51.2%
47.2%
P3
47.3%
51.9%
OT
54.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 19, 2015 | OT | 02:20 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |