Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Adam wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 45.7% vs Plekanec 49.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adam 77.0%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 55.0%
Neutral zone
Adam 62.6%
Result
Luke Adam favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Adam
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Adam
Plekanec
Last 8: Adam 3-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Adam
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adam
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
3
Adam
Plekanec
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (233)
49.8% (1,095)
-6.5%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
49.4% (174)
-1.4%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Adam is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Adam shoots left. Plekanec is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,041).
Home / Away
Adam
Plekanec
Home
47.6% (126)
49.4% (789)
Away
40.6% (133)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Adam
Plekanec
P1
47.8%
51.9%
P2
35.8%
48.8%
P3
47.7%
47.8%
Final 5 min
44.7%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2011 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |