Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Elias wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 40.5% vs Plekanec 49.9% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Plekanec 87.5%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 78.3%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 76.5%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 80.3%
19.7%
80.3%
Elias
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Elias
Plekanec
Last 10: Elias 7-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
3
Elias
Plekanec
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
4
1
Elias
Plekanec
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
4
3
Elias
Plekanec
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (550)
50.8% (1,214)
-11.5%
Power Play
50.0% (60)
50.5% (190)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
27.0% (63)
41.8% (153)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Elias is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Elias shoots left. Plekanec is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (965).
Home / Away
Elias
Plekanec
Home
39.1% (335)
52.1% (760)
Away
39.1% (338)
47.8% (797)
By Period
Elias
Plekanec
P1
39.0%
51.3%
P2
35.4%
47.2%
P3
44.4%
51.9%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
39.1%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |