Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tomas Plekanec
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 36.8% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 39.3% vs Plekanec 49.2% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.0%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 90.4%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 64.5%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 6-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (566)
49.8% (1,095)
-12.7%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
49.4% (174)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
47.3% (364)
-7.3%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Plekanec is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,041).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
Home
37.5% (312)
49.4% (789)
Away
37.5% (293)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
P1
35.4%
51.9%
P2
37.8%
48.8%
P3
39.9%
47.8%
OT
28.6%
39.6%
Final 5 min
37.1%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
37.5%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:28 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |