Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 51.4% vs Plekanec 48.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.4%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 65.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 73.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Last 7: O'Reilly 5-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
1
O'Reilly
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (194)
47.1% (1,214)
+4.4%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
60.2% (128)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (70)
46.6% (371)
+4.8%
On power play, Plekanec has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (247).
O'Reilly shoots left. Plekanec is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,009).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Home
50.3% (185)
49.4% (853)
Away
53.2% (186)
46.6% (860)
By Period
O'Reilly
Plekanec
P1
51.0%
49.5%
P2
48.9%
46.7%
P3
53.3%
48.0%
OT
68.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |