Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.5% vs Plekanec 50.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 67.2%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 56.3%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 65.1%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Last 6: O'Reilly 2-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
O'Reilly
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
O'Reilly
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,367)
51.6% (31)
+5.5%
Power Play
59.4% (286)
100.0% (1)
-40.6%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (257)
33.3% (6)
+19.2%
On power play, Plekanec has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
O'Reilly shoots left. Plekanec is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Home
59.2% (936)
50.0% (38)
Away
54.6% (974)
0.0% (0)
By Period
O'Reilly
Plekanec
P1
57.3%
71.4%
P2
57.5%
58.3%
P3
55.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
54.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2018 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |