Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.9% vs Plekanec 49.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 85.1%
Defensive zone
Gagner 50.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 69.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Gagner
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Gagner
Plekanec
Last 9: Gagner 1-8 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gagner
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
6
Gagner
Plekanec
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Gagner
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (599)
49.8% (1,095)
-2.2%
Power Play
47.7% (86)
49.4% (174)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
47.3% (364)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Gagner is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Gagner shoots right. Plekanec is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Gagner
Plekanec
Home
49.5% (331)
49.4% (789)
Away
45.9% (370)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Gagner
Plekanec
P1
47.7%
51.9%
P2
43.9%
48.8%
P3
51.8%
47.8%
OT
44.4%
39.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |