Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 16 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 28-13 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 92.4%
Defensive zone
Gagner 76.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 78.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Gagner
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
28
(41 meetings)
13
28
Gagner
Plekanec
Last 10: Gagner 4-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
9
2
Gagner
Plekanec
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
16
Gagner
Plekanec
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
4
10
Gagner
Plekanec
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
50.8% (8,558)
-5.4%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
51.3% (1,151)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
46.0% (1,924)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Plekanec is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,678).
Home / Away
Gagner
Plekanec
Home
48.7% (3,025)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Gagner
Plekanec
P1
44.6%
52.5%
P2
46.1%
48.9%
P3
47.3%
49.0%
OT
42.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |