Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Oshie wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 45.9% vs Plekanec 50.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 65.4%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 83.7%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 65.8%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Oshie
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Oshie
Plekanec
Last 6: Oshie 4-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Oshie
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
3
1
Oshie
Plekanec
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (186)
51.0% (1,016)
-4.2%
Power Play
25.0% (16)
49.0% (206)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
46.3% (307)
-10.3%
On power play, Plekanec has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Oshie is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Oshie shoots right. Plekanec is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (632).
Home / Away
Oshie
Plekanec
Home
47.2% (106)
53.3% (836)
Away
41.3% (121)
46.2% (741)
By Period
Oshie
Plekanec
P1
55.6%
54.4%
P2
40.8%
44.5%
P3
37.5%
50.4%
OT
25.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.1%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |