Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 47.3% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Connolly leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 59.4%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 71.0%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 54.3%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Connolly
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Connolly
Plekanec
Last 10: Connolly 6-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Connolly
Plekanec
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
4
Connolly
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
8
3
Connolly
Plekanec
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,307)
50.8% (8,558)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.2% (251)
51.3% (1,151)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (186)
46.0% (1,924)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Connolly shoots right. Plekanec is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,678).
Home / Away
Connolly
Plekanec
Home
48.5% (870)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
45.9% (885)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Connolly
Plekanec
P1
47.4%
52.5%
P2
47.7%
48.9%
P3
47.0%
49.0%
OT
37.8%
51.1%
Final 5 min
42.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 18, 2011 | OT | 00:25 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 18, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |