Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Plekanec 49.9% vs Seguin 53.2% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 58.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Plekanec
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Plekanec
Seguin
Last 8: Plekanec 6-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
0
Plekanec
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
1
Plekanec
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
3
1
Plekanec
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Plekanec
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,214)
53.9% (482)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.5% (190)
35.3% (17)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (153)
75.0% (12)
-33.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Plekanec is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (592).
Plekanec shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Plekanec
Seguin
Home
52.1% (760)
58.9% (231)
Away
47.8% (797)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Plekanec
Seguin
P1
51.3%
51.5%
P2
47.2%
48.5%
P3
51.9%
61.7%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 10:08 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |