Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Plekanec 53.1% vs Smith 48.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 79.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 51.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 61.4%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Plekanec
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Plekanec
Smith
Last 10: Plekanec 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
4
Plekanec
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
0
Plekanec
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Plekanec
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Plekanec
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (1,007)
49.7% (485)
+3.6%
Power Play
71.4% (21)
46.8% (47)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (208)
38.6% (88)
+12.8%
On power play, Plekanec has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Plekanec is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (773).
Plekanec shoots left. Smith is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Plekanec
Smith
Home
52.2% (628)
48.7% (310)
Away
54.4% (608)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Plekanec
Smith
P1
55.6%
45.8%
P2
54.4%
47.4%
P3
49.9%
50.5%
OT
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
53.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2018 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Zack Smith |