Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Novak 43.4% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 72.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 95.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 92.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Cizikas
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cizikas
Novak
Last 6: Cizikas 5-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Cizikas
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (512)
41.3% (368)
+12.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
46.9% (32)
+53.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Cizikas is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Cizikas shoots left. Novak is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Novak
Home
51.9% (258)
42.4% (184)
Away
54.8% (299)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Cizikas
Novak
P1
56.0%
42.5%
P2
55.1%
39.1%
P3
50.0%
44.5%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
52.0%▼
60.5%
53.5%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.5%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |