Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Calvert wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Calvert 42.9% vs Novak 43.3% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 58.5%
Defensive zone
Calvert 60.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 51.3%
Result
Matt Calvert favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Calvert
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Calvert
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (178)
42.1% (1,539)
-6.7%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
51.9% (133)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (42)
50.0% (2)
+2.4%
On power play, Calvert has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Calvert is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Calvert shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Home / Away
Calvert
Novak
Home
41.1% (112)
45.3% (814)
Away
38.5% (117)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Calvert
Novak
P1
33.3%
43.9%
P2
44.3%
42.8%
P3
40.7%
41.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
36.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Calvert
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%